As numerous fans in the UK concentrate on their clubs' early-season performances or discuss forthcoming fall test matches, the battle for World Cup 2027 qualification continues at full pace.
Chile earned their back-to-back appearance at the competition with a sensational playoff victory over Samoa recently, leaving only one remaining spot to be claimed for Australia by 2027. At the same time, Paraguay surprised Brazil 39-19 in the opening match of their playoff.
The second leg takes place on Saturday in Jacareí, near São Paulo, as Brazil's men's team aims to emulate their women's success and qualify for the first occasion.
Regardless of Paraguay manages a surprise aggregate win, or Brazil bounces back following manager their coach's departure, the participants for November's Dubai qualification tournament will then be finalized. Namibia, the Belgian squad, and Samoa have already secured their places for the Dubai-based showdown from 8-18 November.
Many additional nations have also earned their places. Hong Kong China sealed first-time qualification following defeating Korea 70-22 in July, and the Zimbabwean squad will make a comeback to the sport's premier tournament for the first occasion in over three decades after claiming victory in the African championship.
The consequence of Chile's qualifying triumph ensures that Los Condores will play against Italy for the first time next month during the autumn internationals, replacing Samoa who are obligated to compete in the Dubai tournament.
World Rugby's CEO called Chile an "exciting and fast-emerging power" in confirming the forthcoming match in Genoa. While domestic rugby markets seek increased attendance, rugby in Chile is thriving. A sell-out audience of over 20,000 witnessed the playoff victory in the coastal city, and manager the national coach has led the team on an improving path since his appointment in 2018.
The fifty-year-old ex- Uruguay international prop has been influencing the game for decades: signed by the English club in the 1990s, he famously broke through England defense to score at the 2003 global tournament.
His influence as head coach has been equally powerful: Chile have risen to 17th, their highest-ever ranking. At the last tournament in France, they were defeated four times, conceding 215 points and registering 27, including a heavy defeat to the English team.
Nevertheless, they confidently found the positive aspects, and following the tournament draw in Sydney on December 3rd, the coach can begin planning in earnest. They faced the Scottish team last year, losing by a significant margin before 24,000 supporters, and although they were defeated across two legs by the Uruguayan side in the initial qualifying round, they managed a narrow win on the road in Montevideo.
Samoa, in contrast, have participated in every Rugby World Cup since 1991, but are currently languishing in sixteenth position in the global rankings. They were winless in the recent regional tournament, leading to playoff misery against Chile, and the requirement to meet teams like Belgium adds further challenge for the rugby-loving country.
Beyond specific teams' fortunes, it is worth noting how different the larger competition will appear in the next edition. For the first time, there will be a round of 16 with six pools of four teams rather than four pools of five. Pool-stage jeopardy is much lower because the four best third-place teams will additionally advance.
The organizers, Australia, are currently placed seventh in the global rankings, which means they would miss out on top seeding and might face either South Africa, New Zealand, the Irish, France, England, or Argentina in Pool A. They may rise into the highest seeds during a busy November, though: England, the Italian side, the Irish squad, and France are their fixtures, with a game against Japan in Tokyo additionally planned for October 25th.
Wales, meanwhile, are teetering in 12th, with the Japanese side below, and the consequences of falling to 13th and into the third seeding group are potentially severe.
An additional new dimension for the next World Cup is the participation of five nations from the Americas: the Argentine team, the Uruguayan side, the United States, the Canadian team, and the Chilean squad – with either Paraguay or Brazil potentially becoming the sixth. From World Rugby's viewpoint, American interest is positive, especially with the 2031 tournament set to be hosted by the United States, and the host selection for the 2035 tournament was launched recently.
First things first, however. The second installment of Brazil versus Paraguay prepares a four-team Dubai shootout, along with a potential rankings shake-up throughout the European nations in the coming month. Regardless of how things pan out, Chile's successful qualification for a second Rugby World Cup has undoubtedly established them as a clear triumphant example.
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Brian Hernandez
Brian Hernandez
Brian Hernandez